Delayed action – what is Trump waiting for?

I have analyzed this situation in my articles:

January 25, 2026 Why is Trump hesitant to strike Iran?

January 12, 2026 What will happen in 2026

December 8, 2025 Turbulent world – full of powder kegs, Part II

July 6, 2025 Israel-Iran 12-Day War in the Middle East, ex-post evaluation

They clarify the base of the present tense situation and partly reply to our key question “Why is Trump hesitant to strike Iran?” Over four weeks have passed, since Trump abruptly stopped the military operation against Iran without any clear explanation.

Here we focus on the latest events regarding Iran and set again the similar key question: Delayed action – what is Trump waiting for?

US position and relations between the US and Iran

In early February, Iran and the United States officially negotiated a nuclear deal. The Iranian team was led by the Iranian foreign minister and the American team by Steve Witkoff Missiles. Iran asked to move the talks from Istanbul to Oman and keep it just between them and the US. They wanted to focus only on nukes and skip the missile and proxy stuff. Feb.4 Iran said no to the US terms. The US said, “No, take the full deal or nothing.” Iran picked nothing. However, the talks continued and the first round of new talks between Iran and the US took place in Muscat, Oman, ending with some results. The talks held were indirect, Oman’s Foreign Minister Badr Al Busaidi shuffled between the rooms to convey each party’s position.

US President Trump very much needs the talks to chicken out from his threats to again attack Iran. Any attack on Iran would be retaliated for with missile which would cause massive damage to US and Israeli assets. Secretary of State Marco Rubio said the talks needed to include ballistic missiles, Iran’s aligned militias and its treatment of its own people “in order for talks to actually lead to something meaningful.” Iran rejected all the conditions Rubio tried to make.

Some Middle East countries, interested in preventing another war in their region, intervened with President Trump. Fearing that talks about Iran’s missiles and regional proxies could cause an immediate impasse, other countries in the region have been pushing for the session to focus on Iran’s nuclear program.

 “The decision on how to proceed with the negotiations will be made after consultations with the capitals,” Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi told following the conclusion of the Omani-mediated talks. After consultations with the capitals a new round is likely to take place in a week or so.

There are many people around the White House, i.e. Marco Rubio and in Israel who do want the talks to fail. They will do their best to portrait the Iranian position as unreasonable and to press for and immediate end of the negotiations. But Trump needs a way out. Any new conflagration in Middle East could easily turn into a month’s long disaster with significant US casualties. The political aftermath of such a fight would likely ruin his presidency.

Iran ruled out US demand to end uranium enrichment: Iran rejected US demands to completely halt uranium enrichment on its soil during indirect talks in Oman. While maintaining that enrichment is a “non-negotiable right,” Tehran signaled limited flexibility through a regional diplomat. Tehran suggested exploring a regional consortium as an alternative framework to manage enrichment, which could involve other Mideast countries. It seems obvious that the war will come to Iran but the time frame is unsure.

February 22, The US has now deployed 40–50% of its deployable air power against Iran — University of Chicago’s Robert Pape “Never has the US deployed this much force against a potential enemy and not launched strikes”.

These are the facts, known today:

  • The United States has moved a massive amount of combat air assets into the region, along with support aircraft and maintenance technicians… This is on a scale last seen in 2003 prior to the invasion of Iraq. The logistics and air bridges are still in full swing, with no sign of slowing down.
  • US Air Force planners prefer to conduct air operations when there is no or very little moonlight. The next cycle of no moonlight falls in mid-March. If planners get their way, there will be no attack until mid-March. However, no American military group can guarantee “a quick and successful strike with short duration”.
  • President Trump is under enormous pressure from Israel, as well as from many American interest groups to launch the attack as soon as possible and from those military leaders who fear that an extended deployment will degrade US capabilities to carry out a successful operation against Iran unless action is taken as soon as possible.
  • At the same time, President Trump is getting a strong push back from Arab and Muslim leaders in the region to avoid using military force against Iran and to secure a negotiated agreement.
  • Donald Trump’s proposed attack on Iran is strongly opposed by more than 70% of US voters.
  • Iran remains ready to negotiate a deal that will guarantee it is not building a nuclear weapon and will limit enrichment of uranium but is not willing to negotiate missile development.
  • Russia and China have provided Iran with an unprecedented level of military equipment and intelligence. Did that fact compel the US to step on the brakes and work out a deal with Iran?

Iran and the United States have been hostile to each other since the establishment of the Ayatollah regime. One of the main reasons behind this rivalry is the establishment of a theocratic state in Iran. Since the end of the US-Iran negotiations in Oman and the Trump-Netanyahu summit, Washington’s policies indicate that a war between the US and Iran is imminent.

Rumors are flying around social media that Trump is going to order the attack within next couple of days but is he willing to do that at the event of his State of the Union address, which is scheduled for Tuesday, Feb 24? Trump is supposed to meet with influential supporters before that and they will warn the President that his entire agenda will be sabotaged, if he goes to war with Iran.

Highly likely, Trump will not order an attack on Iran until he is given assurances that the attack will be quick and effective… Getting bogged down in a war of attrition carries an enormous risk for Trump and the US military because of the weak supply chain for producing essential weapons, such as air defense missiles, and the fact that China is withholding key minerals, such as palladium, which are needed to produce key weapons like the Tomahawk cruise missile.

There is another reason that may force Trump to postpone: Fourteen Muslim countries — which include all the countries the US claims as allies — along with three major Islamic organizations, are furious with Trump because of the intemperate remarks of US Ambassador to Israel, Mike Huckabee. Huckabee, during his conversation last Tuesday with Tucker Carlson, said:

“it would be acceptable for Israel to exercise control over territories belonging to Arab States, including the occupied West Bank. Israel has the divine (biblical) right to occupy all land from the Nile to the Euphrates River. (Great Israel)”

That remark has ignited an inferno of outrage from Saudi Arabia, Egypt, Jordan, the United Arab Emirates, Indonesia, Pakistan, Türkiye, Qatar, Kuwait, Oman, Bahrain, Lebanon, Syria, the State of Palestine, along with the Organization of Islamic Cooperation, the League of Arab States and the Gulf Cooperation Council. Huckabee’s talk had bad timing.

Diplomacy in the shadow of aircraft carriers – increasing risk of miscalculation between Tehran and Washington The increase in military presence, especially the deployment of two aircraft carriers, raises the likelihood of miscalculation. In an atmosphere of deep mistrust between the two sides, any incident can trigger a chain of action and reaction.

The roots of the idea “Peace Through Strength”, which Trump often repeats, go back to the discourse of American conservatives, especially during Ronald Reagan’s era. The logic of this idea is simple: if you are strong enough to make the other side fear the cost of conflict, the likelihood of war is lower, and your negotiating position is stronger. In classical deterrence theory, this means showing power so that it does not actually have to be used.

In the logic of Trump’s team, military power is not used as a substitute for diplomacy but as its support. While some call this dual strategy “smart deterrence” – show strength but do not use it – other analysts believe the hidden danger of miscalculation is much more serious. “Diplomacy in the shadow of aircraft carriers” may be a short-term pressure tool, but in the long term, it can become an obstacle to dialogue.

Iran’s position

In mid-February, Iran rejects US Deal.  Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi officially rejected the US Deal: “I want to make it clear — Iran’s missiles & defense systems are not subject to negotiation. Never.” Iran is not even allowing Trump to save face. A Biblical war is coming…

Seyed M. Marandi: “War for Survival” – Iran’s Strategy as War Is Imminent

Glenn Diesen , February 21, 2026

Seyed Mohammad Marandi is a professor at Tehran University and a former advisor to Iran’s Nuclear Negotiation Team. Prof. Marandi argues that an existential war is likely imminent, and it will set the entire region on fire.

As an interesting detail, Iran’s foreign minister has confirmed that unexploded US bombs remain inside Iranian nuclear facilities struck in June 2025 including 14-ton GBU-57 bunker-buster bombs that failed to detonate at the Fordow Nuclear Facility.

In February 2026, with US warships massed in the region and threats flying between Washington and Tehran, the specter of direct military strikes on Iran looms large. What starts as a “limited” operation could spiral into massive American losses, sky-high oil prices, and a fatal blow to US global dominance. Iran’s missile arsenal is designed to overwhelm US defenses.

Iran boasts one of the Middle East’s largest ballistic and cruise missile stockpiles. Systems like the Khalij-e Fars anti-ship ballistic missile and Abu Mahdi cruise missiles can launch in huge salvos from mobile sites, tunnels, and subs. Saturation attacks could pierce Aegis defenses on US carriers, with historical strikes on bases showing real damage potential.

THE STRAIT OF HORMUZ: IRAN’S ULTIMATE CHOKEHOLD. This narrow passage carries about 20% of global oil trade. Iran can deploy thousands of mines, fast boats, submarines, and shore missiles to disrupt or threaten closure. Even partial interference could drive oil to $150–200/barrel, sparking worldwide recession and forcing costly US mine-clearing under fire.

ABILITY TO SINK MAJOR US WARSHIPS Iran’s anti-ship weapons include supersonic ballistic missiles hitting at Mach 3+ and sea-skimming cruise missiles. Wargames show carrier groups face severe risks from massed attacks. Sinking a US carrier would be the worst naval loss since WWII—and shatter the myth of American naval supremacy.

RUSSIA AND CHINA AS FORCE MULTIPLIERS. Recent trilateral pacts and joint naval exercises with Iran, Russia, and China deepen coordination. Russia supplies advanced air defenses; China provides anti-stealth radars targeting F-35s and B-2s Any US strike risks indirect—or direct—backing from Moscow and Beijing, escalating far beyond bilateral conflict.

ADVANCED COUNTER-STEALTH AND ELECTRONIC WARFARE Iran’s Bavar-373 system and Russian/VHF radars have tracked US stealth aircraft. Layered jamming and passive detection degrade American air superiority. This raises the price of any air campaign dramatically.

THE STRATEGIC RECKONING. A full war wouldn’t mirror quick Gulf conflicts of the past. Iran’s depth, missiles, and allies promise high-intensity fighting with huge costs: lost ships, aircraft, personnel, and economic chaos dwarfing Iraq/Afghanistan expenses. Politically, a drawn-out fight could accelerate US decline already seen in other regions.

THE CORNERED ANIMAL THEORY: WHY THE US MIGHT STILL STRIKE. Macro analyst Luke Gromen argues US escalation stems from desperation over critical mineral shortages reliant on China. Gromen warns America could lose weapon production capability soon, pushing a “flip the table” gamble to disrupt rivals before vulnerabilities worsen. This turns potential aggression into a high-stakes bid to delay decline—even if it risks global collapse.

THE BOTTOM LINE. A US attack on Iran risks catastrophic military losses, energy market meltdown and the unraveling of post-WWII American hegemony in one brutal cascade. Deterrence beats escalation—because once the shooting starts, no one wins.

IRAN: NO-WARNING ATTACK! The Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps warns: if the US launches an attack from the Gulf, the response will be immediate and WITHOUT ANY PRIOR WARNING. Qatar-style diplomacy is over! Will the “powerful” Trump get the message this time?

Iran has sent an official letter to the UN Security Council

Iran has sent an official letter to the UN Security Council warning that if the US attacks, ALL American bases, facilities, and assets in the region become legitimate targets. The letter, dated Feb. 19 and signed by Iran’s UN Ambassador Amir Saeid Iravani, states:

  • Trump’s public threat to use Diego Garcia and RAF Fairford to strike Iran is a “flagrant violation” of the UN Charter and international law
  • Iran has engaged “constructively, with seriousness and in good faith” in nuclear talks
  • The military buildup “must not be treated as mere rhetoric, it signals a real risk of military aggression”
  • Iran “will not initiate any war” but if attacked, it will respond “decisively and proportionately” under Article 51 self-defense
  • In such a scenario, “all bases, facilities, and assets of the hostile force in the region would constitute legitimate targets”
  • “The United States would bear full and direct responsibility for any unpredictable and uncontrolled consequences” This is a formal warning to every member of the Security Council.

China’s position

Iran is of strategic importance to Russia and China. These transports serve to strengthen Iran’s defensive and negotiating position, rather than directly escalating the conflict and indicate a new level of Russo-Chinese coordination in the close geopolitical environment of the US.

“Russia China and Iran have a pact, an alliances formed in real time. This is a direct threat to the US. Many American commentators say “Don’t Do It”, the smartest thing Trump could do is ‘Go Home and end this idiocy’.  For Russia, Iran is the doorway to Caucasus and central Asia, for China Iran is the doorway to central Asia and furthur eastern Asia. They’re not going to let Iran fall, it is an existential crisis for both if Iran falls or shatters into small pieces.”

Iran is receiving a whole range service of China’s advanced satellite network, which delivers persistent (24/7), all-weather, day-and-night imaging, high-resolution video, SIGINT, and real-time ELINT on US Navy targets. ELINT (Electronic Intelligence): targeting is the process of detecting, identifying, and geolocating foreign, non-communication electromagnetic emissions—primarily radar—to determine enemy capabilities, positions, and operational modes for military operations. It is a subset of SIGINT that builds a Radar Order of Battle (ROB) to support targeting, navigation and strike precision, often used to neutralize surface-to-air missile (SAM) systems. 

China is assisting Iran with Intel, surveillance and real time tracking through satellites to expose US military buildups and positions into Open-Source Targets for Iran military. China is effectively serving as Iran’s advanced surveillance and reconnaissance partner—providing satellite imagery, navigation support, and possibly real-time intelligence including access to the BeiDou navigation system as an alternative to US-controlled GPS —amid heightened US-Iran tensions. Unconfirmed claims point to real-time data sharing on US naval and air movements, potentially leveling the playing field for Iran against superior U.S. forces.

Iran abandoned US GPS in favor of Chinese BeiDou system. Iran no longer depends on US-controlled GPS. Tehran has completely flipped over to BeiDou, the Chinese satellite navigation system. This change significantly strengthens its military capabilities: the GPS can be jammed, hacked or disabled by opponents, while BeiDou, independent and controlled by China, is considered more resistant to jamming and better adapted to the Middle East region. According to Iranian sources, the country reportedly even voluntarily blurred the GPS during recent tensions before adopting BeiDou for military guidance, transportation and other strategic sectors. Result: the possibility for foreign powers to interfere with the navigation or guidance of Iranian missiles becomes almost zero.

Chinese satellites are now revealing the location of US strategic air assets deployed in the Middle East. This may pose a significant risk to the security of US forces in the region. A single strike by quadcopters can damage a large portion of the air assets parked there.

Chinese Navy Deploys Type 055 Destroyer in Gulf of Oman. According to multiple sources in early February 2026, the People’s Liberation Army Navy (PLAN) has deployed a Type 055-class destroyer-led task force in the Gulf of Oman and the northern Indian Ocean. The task force also includes a Type 052D destroyer and the space and maritime reconnaissance ship Liaowang-1. The Type 055 is a modern guided missile destroyer (NATO reporting name: cruiser), equipped with 112 vertical launch vehicles (VLS), advanced dual-band AESA radars and air, anti-ship, and anti-submarine defense systems. The Liaowang-1 is used to track satellites, ballistic missiles, and maritime activities.

“Silent flights” from China to Iran: It is reported that 16 Chinese military transport aircraft flew to Iran with their transponders turned off (without transmitting radar signals). Through these flights, China transferred the latest electronic warfare (EW) systems to Iran. Western experts believe that this military reinforcement could completely change the balance of power in the Middle East. While the West’s attention is focused on aircraft carriers, Beijing and Tehran are changing the rules of the game.

Russia and China are increasing logistics to Iran at a time of tension with the US. In the context of escalating tensions between Iran and the United States, there is a significant increase in military logistics from Russia and China to Iran. According to flight-tracking data and OSINT analyses, several intense waves of heavy transport flights took place in Tehran in the period from late December 2025 to January/February 2026. Repeated flights of Il-76TD (e.g. 5 flights in 48 hours in early January 2026, another series in late January) and An-124 Ruslan (at least 3-5 units in a short period, including flights from Belarus) have been confirmed from Russia. For example, between December 27, 2025 and January 1, 2026, several Il-76s flew from Mineralnye Vody to Tehran, bypassing NATO airspace. These flights suggest time-critical logistics – likely moving ammunition, air defense components, radars, spare parts, or heavy weapons.

Chinese deliveries are less clear. Viral reports from late January 2026 speak of 16+ Y-20 aircraft landing in Iran over a 56-hour period (around January 18-20), allegedly carrying military equipment such as HQ-9 systems or missile components. This information comes mainly from pro-Iranian media, social media, and Israeli sources (e.g. Maariv), but has not been confirmed by Western intelligence agencies or officially. American diplomats and analysts (e.g. in Alhurra) explicitly deny a “large Chinese arms airlift”, arguing that such a scale would be visible to all intelligence services. China has long supplied Iran with dual-use technologies and components, partly via ships or land routes, but a massive airlift remains unverified.

China has been very active in supporting and in serving and assisting Iran authorities with intelligence gathering and removing/preventing Mossad infiltration in the country.

Both countries have a strong interest in preserving the Iranian regime: Iran has been a member of BRICS since 2024 and a key corridor of the Belt and Road Initiative. Losing Iran would threaten China’s oil imports (~90% of Iranian production at a discount) and undermine the stability of the Strait of Hormuz. Russia relies on Iranian drones and missiles in the conflict in Ukraine. At the same time, Iran, Russia and China are planning the 8th annual joint maritime exercise Maritime Security Belt in the northern Indian Ocean for mid-February 2026 (involving the Iranian army, IRGC, Russian and Chinese naval forces). This move signals enhanced coordination and deterrence. The deliveries serve primarily to strengthen Iran’s defenses and negotiating position against the US, not to lead to immediate escalation.

One of the possible reasons for the postponed US attack on Iran, according to a number of sources, is the presence of the Chinese research ship “Da Yang In Hao” in the Arabian Sea, not far from the aircraft carrier USS Abraham Lincoln The ship is located near the aircraft carrier for conducting “scientific research”, but many suspect that China is likely transmitting intelligence to Iran. The presence of this vessel near the US Navy’s aircraft carrier group is making the Pentagon nervous.

Russia’s position

China and Russia have voiced strong opposition to any potential or threatened US military action against Iran, aligning in their criticism of US pressure tactics, including threats of strikes. Russia is preparing to strike US Navy, aircraft carrier and American fighter jets, if US bombs Russian-linked nuclear sites inside Iran. Russia’s direct military aid covers air defense systems S-300, S-400 and portable ad systems as well as attack helicopters Mi-28NE, in addition to previously agreed fighter jets.

Right now, Tehran is deepening military cooperation with both Beijing and Moscow — not through formal troop deployments but via joint naval exercises, strategic patrols, and coordinated power projection that send a message to Washington, not suddenly but structurally. Some western reports of Chinese and Russian “troops” in Iran are misleading but military cooperation is real, with joint naval drills and trilateral exercises in the Indian Ocean and Gulf of Oman that involve Iran, China, and Russia.

The countries are using naval power to counter US influence — recent “Maritime Security Belt” drills underscore a coordinated presence, not occupation. An Iranian drone over the US carrier signals: Iranian state media reported an unmanned aircraft flew near a US Navy vessel — emphasizing Tehran’s ISR (intelligence, surveillance, reconnaissance) capability without direct aggression.

This shows also broader multipolar military cooperation: China and Russia aren’t sending legions but they are projecting power together with Iran through shared exercises and strategic signaling.

The Trilateral Strategic Pact – China, Russia, Iran – January 2026

Since the June 2025 12-day Iran–Israel war (which ended with a US-brokered ceasefire on 24 June 2025), Russia and China have provided Iran with a combination of diplomatic, economic, military-technical, and strategic support. This has helped Tehran recover from strikes on its nuclear sites, air defenses, and missile infrastructure, while deepening their “axis” alignment against Western pressure. Support has been pragmatic rather than unconditional but has accelerated in the months since.

The biggest news — a development that has been largely ignored in the West — was the signing of the Trilateral Strategic Pact (signed 29 January 2026), which provides a comprehensive framework for diplomatic, economic, and security coordination (emphasizing sovereignty, sanctions resistance, and multipolarity; no formal defense alliance). The signing occurred through simultaneous ceremonies in Tehran, Beijing, and Moscow, as confirmed by state media in all three countries.It represents a significant escalation in coordination among the three nations, building directly on their existing bilateral frameworks.

It formalizes a trilateral coordination mechanism for the first time, linking the three powers in a shared strategic framework. It builds on the bilateral agreements that Iran had signed previously with Russia and China:

  • The Iran-Russia 20-year Comprehensive Strategic Partnership Treaty (signed January 17, 2025, entered into force October 2025), focused on economic, political, defense, and sanctions-evasion ties.
  • The Iran-China 25-year Comprehensive Cooperation Agreement (signed 2021), emphasizing trade, infrastructure, energy, and Belt and Road Initiative projects.

While the full text has been released incrementally, public descriptions and official statements highlight the following core elements:

  • Diplomatic coordination — Unified stances on international issues, including opposition to Western sanctions, support for multipolarity, and mutual backing in forums like the UN.
  • Economic resilience and cooperation — Enhanced trade (e.g., energy exports, yuan/ruble-based mechanisms), sanctions circumvention, and infrastructure projects (e.g., expanding Belt and Road ties, North-South Transport Corridor involvement).
  • Strategic and security alignment — Military-technical cooperation, intelligence sharing, and joint exercises (e.g., building on annual “Maritime Security Belt” drills; a major joint naval exercise involving all three that will take place in the Gulf of Oman and northern Indian Ocean in the coming weeks).
  • Nuclear sovereignty — Emphasis on Iran’s right to peaceful nuclear development and resistance to external interference.
  • Trilateral nuclear and military talks — Including IAEA discussions and coordinated exercises.
  • No mutual defense clause — It explicitly stops short of a formal military alliance (unlike NATO’s Article 5), focusing instead on coordination and mutual support without automatic defense obligations.

State media in Tehran, Beijing, and Moscow described it as a “cornerstone” for a new multipolar world order. If Iran is attacked, they are making a concerted, substantive effort to ensure that Iran can effectively defend itself and thwart US attempts at regime change.

Both Russia and China are providing important military assistance to Iran but China appears to be playing a bigger role in supplying hardware while Russia is supplying Iran with critical intelligence. Russia has delivered Mi-28NE attack helicopters (confirmed in early 2026) and possible MiG-29 fighters. Russia also has sent a large number of military transport flights to Iran, but there are no reports about what was on board.

China has focused on upgrading Iran’s air defense system by supplying HQ-9B surface-to-air missile systems (deliveries reported from July 2025 onward, with Iranian officials confirming integration to replace losses from Israeli strikes). In addition, China has deployed the YLC-8B long-range surveillance radars (for detecting stealth aircraft like the F-35) and shipped missile components to rebuild ballistic missile production lines damaged in the war. Iran is in a much stronger position militarily than it was on June 13, 2025, when Israel launched its surprise attack.

The support that Russia and China are providing to Iran and Cuba sends a clear message to Donald Trump and to the nations of the global south: i.e., Russia and China are building a new financial and security infrastructure designed to immunize countries against US coercion and threats. They are doing more than just offering words of solidarity… They are backing up their words with concrete economic, diplomatic and military actions. The foundation of the American hegemon is crumbling.

Douglas Macgregor: Russia, China & Iran Seek to Contain U.S. Military

Glenn Diesen February 4, 2026

Larry C. Johnson & Col. Larry Wilkerson: Russia + Iran + China: War Shield That Changes the World

Dialogue Works February 13, 2026

What Iran, Russia & China just did is HUGE, War BACKFIRES on Trump | Mohammad Marandi

Danny Haiphong February 23, 2026

Iran’s shocking response to Trump’s imminent attack is sending fear down the spines of the US military as war leaves them defenseless from Iranian missile fire says Mohammad Marandi. This video breaks down why this war is already backfiring on Trump.

The Wrap-up

The consequences of this possible war will be felt globally. The Strait of Hormuz, between Iran and Oman, is a critical chokepoint for global trade. Around 20-25 percent of global oil and oil byproducts and 20 percent of LNG pass through this strait annually. Iran could close this strait in case of a war with the United States or Israel. The impacts of the closure of this strait will be felt in every household around the world, including the US.

Moreover, this war will further increase global chaos and polarization. A US-Israel attack on Iran will put global peace and stability at risk.

Another clear conclusion is that Russia and China are expanding their cooperation to counter US efforts to bully Iran and Cuba.

Some internationally known experts have interesting and important to say:

“Trump Has NO CHOICE” – Col. Macgregor On Whether Trump Will Strike Iran…

Mario Nawfal, February 22, 2026

What If The U.S. Attacks Iran? 7 Scenarios That Could Trigger Global Crisis | N18G | 4K

moneycontrol February 22, 2026

Rising tensions between the United States and Iran have fueled fears of possible military strikes and their far-reaching consequences. If Washington targets bases linked to the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps, missile sites, or nuclear facilities, several outcomes are possible. Limited strikes could weaken Iran’s leadership and open space for political change — or the regime could survive and adjust its policies under pressure. A power vacuum might allow security forces to tighten control, while Tehran could retaliate against US forces and regional allies, risking wider conflict. Disruption of the Strait of Hormuz could send global oil prices soaring. A naval clash in the Gulf would sharply escalate tensions. In the most destabilizing scenario, regime collapse without a clear successor could plunge Iran into prolonged instability, with regional and global consequences. While potential targets are known, the ultimate outcome remains highly unpredictable.

Latest warning words of Monday

A Bad Omen … turning into complete shit

Something “terribly funny” is happening!!!

JUST IN: 80% of the Toilets on the USS Gerald Ford are Broken. This is the United States MOST POWERFUL aircraft carrier and it was disabled by toilets. This has to be a sign from God to not to flush the diplomatic solution.

BAD OMEN … IS THIS OPERATION TURNING INTO COMPLETE SHIT!?